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高盛:市場估9月降息穩 避險基金猛囤美股


Desmond Milligan

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MoneyDJ新聞 2025-08-19 10:33:10 黃智勤 發佈

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市場預期聯準會(Fed)將於9月再度啟動降息,高盛指出,避險基金已趕在降息前大舉買進美股。

路透報導,高盛發表報告指出,截至8月15日止當週,避險基金以七週來最快的速度買進美股,因市場預期聯準會將於9月啟動降息;報告也指出,避險基金拋售醫療保健、消費必需品等在經濟不佳時表現良好的防禦型股票。

利率期貨報價顯示,交易員預期聯準會9月降息1碼的可能性高達85%;美國財政部長貝森特(Scott Bessent)近期接受彭博專訪時更表示,9月可能一口氣降息兩碼,長期而言可能降息至少6碼。

展望本週,聯準會主席鮑爾將在傑克森洞(Jackson Hole)央行年會上談話,發表對經濟前景和央行政策框架的看法,也受到各界矚目。

申報資料顯示,美國加州公務員退休基金(Calpers)於第二季大幅加碼AI晶片之王輝達、AI數據商Palantir,並增持Coinbase、Robinhood等加密貨幣概念股。

全球最大避險基金集團橋水(Bridgewater Associates)則於第二季出清中概股,並增持輝達、Alphabet和微軟等美國科技公司。

隨著降息預期加溫,美國營建股近來默默走揚,道瓊美國房屋建築指數(Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index)已站上200日、50日移動平均線,是代表上漲動能的技術性訊號;波克夏也於第二季敲進D.R. Horton、Lennar等營建股。

(圖片來源:shutterstock)

*編者按:本文僅供參考之用,並不構成要約、招攬或邀請、誘使、任何不論種類或形式之申述或訂立任何建議及推薦,讀者務請運用個人獨立思考能力,自行作出投資決定,如因相關建議招致損失,概與《精實財經媒體》、編者及作者無涉。

延伸閱讀:

橋水Q2出清中概股 賣光阿里巴巴/百度/蔚來

美財長:若「雙普會」不順利,可能加大對俄制裁

資料來源-MoneyDJ理財網

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